Just another day...
Mood: confused (at work)
Music: Phil Collins - "Another Day In Paradise"
Posted on 2005-10-24 13:06:00
Tags: baseball astros baseballstats
Words: 146

Wow...the weekend did not treat the Astros well. Down 2-0 isn't horrible, though, especially because they're coming home. And Berkman has had two good games, which is promising. The walk-off home run last night hurt, but not nearly as bad as the Pujols one. I'm mostly just happy they made it here at this point. (although I do hope they win a few at home!)

I threw together a PHP script, so you can now calculate baseball Win Expectancy given a situation. I may work on it some more at some point...

The last week or so, I've had some trouble getting to sleep - nothing serious but it's been taking me at least half an hour to get to sleep. I'm gonna try avoiding caffeine this week and see if that helps.

Edit: meant to link to this article about win expectancy. So now I did!

5 comments

Comment from onefishclappin:
2005-10-24T13:29:24+00:00
We actually watched the game last night while playing pool. We watched from when the score was 2-2 (5th inning?) until the end. It was kind of sad, looked like they had a chance and then...
But, how often do Houston players play in near freezing rain/sleet? I hope they'll do better in Texas.

Comment from gregstoll:
2005-10-24T14:04:11+00:00
Yeah, it looked darn cold out there!

Comment from medryn:
2005-10-24T13:58:31+00:00
Home team, 8th inning, down by 5, runners on 1st and 3rd.

You only have a 0.02197 chance of winning. Fortunately, if you get one more of your guys out, your chances improve to 0.02343. :-)

Comment from gregstoll:
2005-10-24T14:03:57+00:00
Beware the dangers of relative frequency with small sample sizes! :-)

Comment from yerfdogyrag:
2005-10-25T00:04:09+00:00
So, I've been doing the melatonin thing for the past few weeks. I knew I'd have to get up "early" (6:30 is early for me) for a chorus contest, and was using the drug to slowly move my schedule back to human hours. It seems to work reasonably well - about an hour after a dose I start getting pretty drowsy. Only about 20mins to go before I

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